10 chapters across the catalog
Season of Reveal Jingles and Election Predictions
The show introduces the "Season of Reveal" theme with various listener-submitted jingles. A featured clip shows a commentator predicting that Kamala Harris will ultimately be revealed as the true winner of the 2024 election. The hosts use these clips to illustrate the ongoing "delusional" narratives in political media.
Barbara Boxer Anecdote, Obama Electability Error
A listener's note recalls a past prediction where one of the hosts claimed Barack Obama was "unelectable" prior to his 2008 victory. The segment also includes a brief anecdote about former Senator Barbara Boxer and the "5150" police code for mental health holds.
A compilation of media figures and politicians, including President Obama, predicting that Donald Trump would never become president is played. The hosts note that they have played similar clips before but find the "golden Bible" and "spaceships with dinosaurs" comments particularly amusing in hindsight.
Stony Brook University Professor Helmut Norpoth discusses his "Primary Model," which predicts a Donald Trump victory based on primary performance and historical cycles. Norpoth notes that the candidate who performs better in their party's primaries almost always wins the general election. He also mentions having placed a legal bet on his prediction through the Iowa Electronic Markets, standing apart from mainstream pollsters.
Club 33, Hillary Clinton Presidency Predictions, Bot Skepticism
Adam and John discuss "Club 33" donations and the "600 series" of the podcast. Adam reiterates his prediction that Hillary Clinton will be the next president, despite skepticism from his "bot friends" who find her "nutty." They joke about a "flash mob" at the club to avoid police scrutiny.
The hosts review their previous predictions regarding the New Hampshire primary results. While they correctly anticipated a Mitt Romney victory and a strong showing for Ron Paul, they analyze the specific percentages and the performance of candidates like Jon Huntsman and Rick Santorum. Ron Paul's actual 23% finish exceeded their initial 15-18% estimate.
Presidential X-Factor Reality Show, Iowa Caucus Predictions
Adam Curry and John C. Dvorak open the program from Austin, Texas, and Northern Silicon Valley. They review Dvorak's successful predictions regarding the Iowa Caucus results, where he accurately forecasted a Mitt Romney victory followed by Rick Santorum and Ron Paul. The hosts characterize the political process as a scripted reality show designed for television ratings.
Donald Trump Presidential Run Prediction Retrospective
The hosts revisit their conflicting predictions regarding Donald Trump's potential 2012 presidential run. John Dvorak notes that he correctly predicted Trump would not run, while Adam Curry admits his prediction changed following the killing of Osama bin Laden, which shifted the political and media landscape.
European Parliament Election, Voter Turnout Predictions
The hosts review their previous predictions for the European Parliament election voter turnout. While Adam Curry predicted 28%, the actual consensus reached approximately 38%, closer to John C. Dvorak's estimate of 39%. They discuss the possibility of official numbers being manipulated to avoid showing extremely low engagement.
Prominent figures on both sides of the political aisle are predicting a landslide victory for their respective candidates. Salman Rushdie and Janeane Garofalo expressed certainty of an Obama landslide on Bill Maher's program, while Rush Limbaugh suggests McCain could win decisively. The hosts analyze these conflicting "echo chamber" predictions as the election nears.
