13:28 Right into the flight path of a light into the flight path into the flight path So let me talk about that for a second because you know I was even a little skeptical on on Thursday show and I have to say you you jumped all over me saying no planes crash or engine stop Yeah, that is of course true But that's not with that's if you really fly through the direct cloud itself not necessarily this thing that is allegedly floating over Europe So here's what interests me. We have a couple of people who listen to the show who work at Eurocontrol, to be named not to be mentioned by the way. And so I pinged them, I said, you know, dude, what's going on with Eurocontrol? You know, what's the deal with this? Have you guys never expected something like this? Now take into account, the way the jet stream flows and the way almost all transatlantic flights are routed is always over Iceland.
14:28 Right? It's for two reasons. One for the jet stream, so you pick up some extra speed. And the other one is it's handy if you have an engine failure to have a place to land. So that's why you're kind of rounded that way. And also I think the curvature of the earth makes it a shorter route. So I say, you know, have you guys ever done any like exercises for this and it turns out that in November indeed Eurocontrol did an exercise in the event of a volcanic ash disaster but they did it in Italy. Of course they got some volcanoes there, so that kind of makes sense. But in all these years of transatlantic flight, they never did a volcanic ash exercise in the case one of these volcanoes in Iceland would erupt? That I found truly weird. Well, this thing only goes off once every six, seven hundred years, and I don't think anyone really anticipated it. I think the one thing, by the way, not to interrupt your train of thought here, but
15:32 We have to keep it in mind that every time this particular volcano seems to have erupted, its next door neighbor, which is something like five times bigger, tends to go off. Well, so that's my point. You're kind of proving it for me. So anyway, so the next thing is, where is this coming from? Where is this shutdown of all airspace coming from? And like, who's determining this? Well, it's coming from... I don't know. And no one really knows. Oh, that's interesting. Yeah, so I start tracing it back. It comes from ICAO, I-C-A-O, who by the way have nothing at all about this on their website. Not a news article, not a single thing.
16:17 ICAO is mainly responsible for navigational charts, of course the ICAO code, so each airport has a code. And this is a fine United Nations organization. They're getting their information from the VAAC, the Volcanic Ash I forgot the second A. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center, of which there are nine in the world and these are at the Met Office. Offices, I should say. The what offices? The meteorological offices. The people who bring you the weather. Weather guys. The weather guys. So all of Europe is shut down because the VAAC in London
17:05 has issued an advisory, it's a bunch of scientists saying, oh, you know what, the... The science is in! It's dangerous to fly! It's dangerous to fly! Tell everybody to shut down! And, uh... Now that has to be, you, that, hey, make a note of the time, that's the clip that starts the show. That's the clip? Okay, I'll sit it right there. You don't even, you sounded... I sounded good, didn't I? You sounded good. So, right, I'm looking at the volcanic ash advisory from London and it's aviation color code red. Whatever that means. No one knows what the hell this really means. So this is not an aviation shutdown. It's not like aviation experts said, wow, this is dangerous. No, government said, shut it down. This is dangerous. And now we've got, particularly in Norway,
18:06 where we have the president of Norwegian Air saying, hey, the danger of flying is really minimal. Even better, a Scandinavian Airlines captain says, this is the biggest hysteria of the century. Per Gunnar Stevensveig. Yeah, no, I think we've all seen these. No, no, I disagree. I don't think everyone has seen these. Well, that guy's been all over the blogs, that's for sure, that Scandinavian guy. Oh, really? Now, my take on the whole thing is that if there's not, if the skies are, like you say, if they say, if it's clear as a bell, yeah, obviously it's not a problem, but if there's a big cloud...
18:43 Well, first of all, you can only you can should be able to fly over the cloud because the thing is only going to the day say 30,000 30 35,000 feet. Maybe you can fly under the cloud. You can fly over the cloud, but there is no cloud. This is the whole point. There is no cloud KLM. The president of KLM was getting pissed off about this, you know, maybe losing all that money has something to do with it. His options are devaluing. They did a test flight last night, yesterday afternoon actually. They went up, they took it all the way up to 41,000 feet, they came back down, they checked the plane, there's like no ash! Nothing wrong. Lufthansa is flying planes, repositioning planes between Dusseldorf and Munich, I believe. So that when aviation cranks up again, they have to have crews and planes in the right spot.
19:40 So they're flying planes. Oh, and did I mention perhaps that Arabian-owned private 747s were allowed to take off and go home? Go ahead. You know, it's always like that, just like a 9-11. No one can fly except a couple of Arab guys. The Pope gladly took to the skies from Rome. Now granted that Rome is a little bit south of the purported danger area, but he went off to go join the Knights of Malta. on his flight and everywhere I keep reading more and more reports of there just not really being any cloud that anyone can see. And so how dangerous can this be? And there's like no end in sight. No end in sight to this thing. So I'm just gonna call it a hoax.
20:38 I am. It's a total hoax. So in Norway, you can't fly helicopters. They've even grounded those. Go look at the news and go watch helicopters landing in sandstorms in Iraq, or even the sandstorms they create themselves when they land. It's not quite as dangerous as it's being portrayed. Yes, if you fly through the black cloud, then these particles can, I guess they can actually melt or remelt inside jet engines and clog them up. And there's all kinds of, you know, examples of... I don't think anyone's actually crashed. They have had to lose altitude and restart the engines. And I think every single time that's happened it's turned out okay. But to shut down European aviation for now, we're now, what are we now, on day five?
21:35 Thursday, Friday, day four? Yeah, I thought they'd be back flying yesterday. So it probably won't happen until until Monday at the earliest but from all the predictions are handing out Well, you know the thing is you can go up This is not a new technology You can go up with a plane or anything you want with these various filtering devices that are used by the air pollution control districts around the world and they gather anything that's in the air a particulate and that mainly which would be what you're worried about here which is just a solid particles are microscopic and you can collect these things and flying back down and you can make a calculation on how many of these things per square mile of the air there are and and how potentially dangerous uh... the situation would be i have heard that i have heard none of this it's not unusual