Topic: New York Times Poll

President Joe Biden visited Israel, describing the bilateral bond as "bone-deep" while visiting the Yad Vashem Holocaust Memorial. Recent New York Times polling indicates that 64% of Democratic voters prefer a different nominee for the 2024 election, despite Biden's claims of 92% party support. In a hypothetical rematch, the poll shows Biden leading Donald Trump 44% to 41%.

Media reports highlight President Trump's low approval ratings, currently averaging around 39%, despite his legislative victories. The segment expresses skepticism toward these polls, suggesting they are biased products of the Washington Post and New York Times. The discussion questions the validity of data claiming the tax bill is unpopular with the public.

A New York Times/CBS News poll shows Ben Carson leading Donald Trump in Iowa, particularly among evangelical and Tea Party voters. The hosts question the statistical significance of the poll, noting the margin of error is nearly equal to the lead, while Major Garrett reports on Trump's eroding demographic support.

The New York Times begins covering Ron Paul's "ground game" in Iowa, which the hosts interpret as the media covering its tracks after previously ignoring his candidacy. Despite being marginalized in "phony baloney" surveys, Paul is expected to finish first or second in the Iowa caucus. The hosts predict that the media will attempt to downplay a Paul victory by claiming the caucus is not a representative vote.