Episode 552 • • 1:21:29 - 1:25:33
552: Almost Certain = Fact!
Climate Model Simulations and Probability Scales
The hosts examine the methodology of the IPCC report, which relies heavily on computer simulations and "qualitative levels of confidence." They explain that the widely cited "95% certainty" figure is an extrapolation of the term "extremely likely" rather than a direct statistical fact. They argue the report is based on consensus and agreement rather than definitive proof.