Topic: Error Bars

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Error Bars
Episode 1850 1:48:47 - 1:54:13

1850: Error Bars

AGI Definitions, Moving the Goalposts

Sam Altman discusses the timeline for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), suggesting it could arrive by 2028. He defines a key threshold as the moment when more of the world's "cognitive capacity" resides inside data centers than outside of them, though he admits to "huge error bars" in this prediction.