
1229: Orange Tongue
Imperial College Model, Neil Ferguson and COVID-19 Data Adjustments
Dr. Deborah Birx addressed the media regarding significant downward adjustments to the Imperial College COVID-19 model created by Neil Ferguson. The original projections of 500,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million in the US were drastically reduced as real-world data emerged. Birx explained that the high initial estimates relied on assumptions of massive asymptomatic infection rates that have not been observed in the field.

