18:47 Isn't that the definition of a conflict of interest? Yeah, but she'll wait there. She gets a waiver for that Oh yeah okay now she will recuse herself Maybe she's the nicest person in the world I don't know anyway go back just another tool That's all just another little tool and by the way for all the people who are emailing me Let's just get one thing straight. I did not vote for John McCain I thought he was just as bad as Obama The Republicans and Democrats are the same thing they work for the same people So stop emailing me about that like, you know, well it would have been worse if McCain had won. Jesus! You don't... Get with the program! So if you look at the chart of the Dow Industrial Average John then I would like to pull it up finance.yahoo.com is the easiest. Just click on that chart so give me the date when really the crash took place
19:43 Oh, I can tell you right now it's November 20th. No no no it was before that when did the slide start? That's the bottom, the bottom was November 20th by the way people are all upset about calling the bottom. I've made about three bets. Yeah? Maybe I have a problem with gambling but... I made about three bets because one guy writes... I told you what it's going to be and, and I will be right but we'll get to that later. 7286 by February 14th that was my long number i called in October so when did the slide start? Oh okay let me bring up the chart hang on You really have to do a full year chart to see it but then yeah Yeah I'm gonna guys I have to sign in to get what I am looking for here Jesus just Well you should give me a warning or heads-up on some of this stuff
20:37 You know, like send me a little list of hey do this and do that. No I want to command you at my will. At my beckoning. You work for me remember? You're boring the public with this bullshit. Dow Jones Industrial Average let's go get the basic tech analysis and let's look at the two year chart alright so we had a couple interesting... This is very funny chart because it was at 14000 back in September of 07, September or October November maybe. Then it took a dive as you would do and then in January of 08 dived and bounced off the 12000 a couple times made what they like to call a bull trap which means the market looks like was going up and decided to go just the other way
21:24 And then it came down, I think it started in May...I would say from this June maybe. June 08, it took its first dive and then a huge dive the big one was October. Right! Thank you. It took you long enough to get there. Press release? Well October is always the traditional month for this kind of thing From the FederalReserve.gov website, October 6th 2008 The Federal Reserve Board on Monday announced it will begin to pay interest on depository institutions required and excess reserve balances This is what happened John This is where the credit crunch came from the Fed for the first time in as far I know ever
22:09 started to pay interest on deposits, which is in the Federal Reserve banking system banks can lend out a factor of what used to be 10 but it's probably 30 or 40 by now amount of money they had in reserve and they put that money into the reserve bank but they didn't get interest on it. So as of October 6th the Fed started paying I think 75 basis points interest Not only the required reserve but any excess reserve balances now I haven't done all the research yet, but I'm pretty sure the Fed's balance sheet has ballooned
22:45 to an extraordinary amount because all these banks, they took that money. They took the TARP money and they just deposited it with the Federal Reserve to get more interest with more security than anywhere else. This is... I call this a smoking gun. Wow! That's...I'll give you 10 points on that one. It's pretty good theory And it scares me, this scares the bejesus out of me. So all they have to do to fix the economy is saying we're not going to give interest anymore? That's all they have to do just get the credit flowing absolutely! Yeah and think about I mean I don't know what it is now but 75 basis points I know it's not very high but if its from the Fed you know shit yeah I'm gonna put my money in there look I wish I could put my money in there It's free money
23:31 Totally free money, but not just for the required amount but for any excess. Oh my god! So this is... all these things make me think more and more that this is architected. Yeah well it would make some sense. Architected as you know now we're going to have thats why by the way if thats true Which is a really interesting concept. Although of course we had all these other weirdnesses, but we got like cheap oil now I mean things should be booming if that's true and it can be reversed so quickly because if you look at the chart in October that sucker took a dive In like a week! It went...in a week? It looked like a real crash Yeah remember we had 700 points then 600 points 300 points boom boom boom
24:16 And so if that's true, then the theory that a number of us have that we could have a rally this year or bull market even this year holds up. Because if they put the, you know, they just pull the trigger on that. No we're not going to give interest anymore We never did that before and I could do it again doesn't seem and now they could point back maybe and say well Look what it did? It wasn't a good idea And then stop doing it. Uh, I don't think people know about it. No one talks about it now Well, yeah, i'm gonna harp on it. I'll bring it up with horowitz The next time I talk with him, thank you Please do thing and see what he says please do but that was a good find